Description

This analysis provides a forecast of UNI7083 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 5.488527 6.084532 6.754003 7.569262 8.545756 9.691685e+00 11.159523
2024-11-03 4.763767 5.569786 6.556333 7.882809 9.670128 1.207749e+01 15.728228
2024-11-10 4.231392 5.159363 6.377200 8.160860 10.841727 1.499436e+01 22.628809
2024-11-17 3.661043 4.593759 5.878974 7.883256 11.163866 1.688352e+01 29.518187
2024-11-24 3.303755 4.253633 5.622240 7.888091 11.928569 1.993704e+01 42.121878
2024-12-01 2.992032 3.930149 5.330289 7.764479 12.436532 2.286545e+01 59.694822
2024-12-08 2.714072 3.619282 5.007192 7.514636 12.626226 2.528983e+01 82.604501
2024-12-15 2.522727 3.415226 4.821375 7.464858 13.214683 2.927704e+01 131.751071
2024-12-22 2.349535 3.219805 4.621762 7.346565 13.616496 3.320670e+01 220.298408
2024-12-29 2.296718 3.207010 4.725068 7.836808 15.704853 4.592786e+01 997.585526
2025-01-05 2.151361 3.029687 4.517845 7.645512 15.927916 5.150201e+01 4536.341735
2025-01-12 2.055806 2.925933 4.429825 7.693142 16.878486 6.318816e+01 NaN
2025-01-19 1.947645 2.796986 4.290131 7.621516 17.529252 7.612165e+01 NaN
2025-01-26 1.892975 2.754965 4.309486 7.928890 19.685495 1.129208e+02 NaN
2025-02-02 1.838089 2.707623 4.312829 8.203183 21.995737 1.780414e+02 NaN
2025-02-09 1.734043 2.565417 4.113142 7.919672 21.871403 2.067896e+02 NaN
2025-02-16 1.666176 2.483383 4.027000 7.922217 23.079699 3.026020e+02 NaN
2025-02-23 1.593160 2.387015 3.902049 7.796370 23.638661 4.166087e+02 NaN
2025-03-02 1.515737 2.277941 3.741348 7.544123 23.433604 5.087176e+02 NaN
2025-03-09 1.461058 2.207534 3.656009 7.493524 24.328340 8.394255e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 1.405272 2.131816 3.552963 7.374219 24.791469 1.383288e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 1.398584 2.147249 3.647287 7.867126 29.612429 3.966770e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 1.344221 2.068986 3.528533 7.674569 29.638500 NaN NaN